I will not whining in here since enough people have whined already. I just wanted to share my thoughts on our current political environment. Just a regular guy’s 2 cents, who political influence were aroused by prime media and the Internet, and some discussion with friends.
One of the most talked about topics in the media nowadays is the incoming election. Some people predicts it will be this March, some predicted the last November, and Pak Lah playing puzzle about the exact date. Therefore the biggest question is, when it will be?
However, I predicted the incoming election will be held at the end of 2008, as early as in November. You asked me why? Let me tell you why.
They will not dare. That is the answer. BN will not dare. Pak Lah will not dare. Too much issues that concern them right now. From the public assemblies held by BERSIH and HINDRAF, to the crude oil price skyrocketing up to USD100 per barrel, BN will not dare to hold an election in this near time.
Lets take the fuel price issue as a point. Last year they already increased it price for RM0.30 when the crude oil price reached USD60 per barrel. And right now it circulated around USD90 per barrel, and you can bet government could not uphold the burden any longer. Sooner or later they need to increase the fuel price.
But what happen if they increase it now? The opposition parties will raise this as an issue. Therefore increasing the price right before the election, is out of question. And how about they increase it right after the election? Not good also. The opposition will play the issue, “If you vote for them, they will increase the price, if you vote us, we will decrease it. I don’t know, you are the one with brain.” Therefore, what they can do is, increase the price of fuel now, and hold the election in the end of the year, hoping that by that time the people will forget about the fuel price issue.
Three days ago Nor Mohamad Yaakop the 2nd Finance Minister informed that the Budget 2009 presentation will be held on August, instead of October with the excuses of to avoid presenting it during Ramadhan. For me this is another sign showing that the GE will be held in the end of the year. The Budget presentation will be the “GE Budget”, with full of promises to give the people what they want if they vote for them.
Some people said, they must hold the election before April, since after April Anwar Ibrahim will be elligible to run for election. Anwar Ibrahim is sure a great threat to BN, but he is still one guy. I bet BN will prefer competing with Anwar in the election rather than jeopardizing their chances of winning by holding the election before April.
But wait. If they were not prepared, why did they talk about it now? In all over the media?
The fact is, they have been talking about this since May last year. You guys should remember which media is the first to talk about this. Utusan Malaysia. Thats right people. Utusan Malaysia. Utusan held a news headlines predicting government will hold the GE in the nearest time. The scapegoat, an associate professor from UKM. In an interview he told Utusan, now might be the best time to hold an election since the positive economic growth we experiencing (during that time). (Altough he stated clearly that the positive growth is not because of what government has done, but more likely because the whole world economy is experiencing it, and we are only at the normal stage with GDP of 6% compared to India and China of 11% & 12% respectively).
The consequences is, all the BN politicians jumped of their seats, many commented that it is rediculous. People started to talk about it, until now. And then it leads to public assembly held by BERSIH, the Lingam’s video case, and I am guessing more controversies will come.
But wait. Aren’t Utusan suppose to be pro-government? Why did it smell like they were attacking them, you ask me?
Yes, Utusan is pro-government, but it is also pro-Mahathir. That is why KJ did not like it very much and tried to merge it with NSTP so that he will have a control over it, but unfortunately he failed. Well, that is another story.
As a conclusion, for those who still not register as a voter, please do so. There is still time. General Election will be held in the end of the year people, just wait and see. But if I am wrong, a thousand apologize. However, it does make sense, doesn’t it?